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Sunday, July 6, 2014

Perhaps Russia Just Hit the High Water Mark

    Russia has perhaps ridden history to its latest crest.  A combination of military action by Ukraine, sanctions from the West on 'silovniki,' and general adaptation to its model of warfare could turn the tide.  All that is left is some sort of oil shock that could set Russia back in financial terms.  Unfortunately, it is clear that a Russia that is a decided and determined opponent to accepted Western values is here to stay.  Russia's power is going to ebb and flow, and we just seen the latest flow.  Now it has Crimea and can claim a relative victory in 20th century terms.
   Ukraine has mounted successful military operations against Sloviansk and the surrounding area.  It has right concentrated its efforts on restoring civil order.  Government buildings are to be restored to authorities and criminals should be punished.  It is difficult to say how bloody it will be to move against Donetsk.  Yet, the Ukrainian government has shown that such a restoration of order is possible, thus bolstering its legitimacy.
     

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